Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
Celtic

Andrich (16', 82'), Diaby (87')
Palacios (33'), Hradecky (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Juranovic (40' pen.), Jota (56')
Carter-Vickers (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.34%) and 3-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Celtic
43.42%	21.92%	34.64%

Both teams to score 69.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.14%

30.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.78%

52.21%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91%

15.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.39%

43.6%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27%

18.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91%

50.08%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 43.42%

Celtic 34.64%

Draw 21.92%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-3 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.09% 0-0 @ 2.82% 3-3 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.66% 3-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.64%