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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 51.16% | 23.16% | 25.68% |
| Both teams to score 58.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% | 42.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% | 16.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.62% | 46.38% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% | 65.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.68% |