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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 32.92% | 24.88% | 42.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% | 45.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% | 68.1% |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% | 61.93% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-1 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.19% |