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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 54.45% | 22.17% | 23.39% |
| Both teams to score 59.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% | 39.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% | 62.24% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% | 14.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.24% | 42.76% |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% | 66.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.27% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.39% |