Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.