Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
4 - 1
Augsburg

Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
46.32%	26.89%	26.79%

Both teams to score 47.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28%

56.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33%

77.67%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54%

24.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09%

58.91%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28%

36.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49%

73.51%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 46.31%

Augsburg 26.79%

Draw 26.89%

Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Augsburg

Mainz 05

55.7%

Draw

35.0%

Augsburg

9.3%