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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greuther Furth | Draw | Mainz 05 |
34.11% | 26.23% | 39.66% |
Both teams to score 53.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% | 51.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% | 73.2% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% | 28.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% | 64.47% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% | 25.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.73% | 60.27% |
Score Analysis |
Greuther Furth | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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