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Greuther Furth
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Mainz logo

Greuther Furth
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Dudziak (12'), Bell (66' og.)
Seguin (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Onisiwo (90+3')
Nebel (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Greuther Furth 0-1 Mainz 05

Mainz should put their cup woes behind them and pick up where they left off in their stunning league campaign here. The home side have stopped the rot in the last few weeks but continue to struggle in front of goal - having netted just 15 times this season - and we expect them to suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawMainz 05
34.11%26.23%39.66%
Both teams to score 53.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62%51.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8%73.2%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34%28.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53%64.47%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73%60.27%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 34.11%
    Mainz 05 39.66%
    Draw 26.23%
Greuther FurthDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.66%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Mainz 05

Greuther Furth
40.0%
Draw
8.0%
Mainz 05
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Mainz
3-0
Greuther Furth
Lucoqui (15'), Szalai (18'), Stoger (90+2')
Bell (25'), Kohr (28')

Hoogma (22'), Seguin (45')
Jan 26, 2013 2.30pm
Greuther Furth
0-3
Mainz

Fürstner (76')
Malli (65'), Szalai (53', 84')
Malli (14'), Szalai (70'), Müller (74')
Aug 31, 2012 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
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10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
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