Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 19' goal
  • Alexander Hack 41' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 49' goal
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 79' goal
  • yellowcard Suat Serdar 36'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 59'

Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern 2 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Stevan Jovetic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result

Mainz 05 52.13%
Draw 24.4%
Hertha Berlin 23.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.41%
Under 2.5 49.59%
Over 3.5 28.39%
Under 3.5 71.61%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 81%
Under 0.5 19%
Over 1.5 49.45%
Under 1.5 50.55%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 64.29%
Under 0.5 35.71%
Over 1.5 27.52%
Under 1.5 72.48%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 52.12%
Draw 24.4%
Hertha Berlin 23.48%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.4%
Hertha Berlin
0-1 @ 6.99%
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 29
May 3, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stefan Bell 18' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 40' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 72' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Tousart 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 39'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Ascacibar 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Krzysztof Piatek 33' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 49' yellowcard
  • Jordan Torunarigha 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 28'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiastadion
  • Santiago Ascacibar 36' yellowcard
  • Marius Wolf 70' yellowcard
  • Dedryck Boyata 84' goal
  • Marius Wolf 89' redcard
  • Dedryck Boyata 92' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Quaison 17'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 69'
  • goal Robin Quaison 82'
  • goal Robin Quaison 94'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • Jeremiah St Juste 33' yellowcard
  • Robin Quaison 40' goal
  • Jeremiah St Juste 88' goal
  • Pierre Kunde 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Per Ciljan Skjelbred 37'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 74'
  • goal Marko Grujic 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2019 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin (Berlin)
  • Marko Grujic 50' goal
  • Niklas Stark 60' goal
  • goal Niklas Stark 46' (OG)
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 61'
  • yellowcard Giulio Donati 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2018 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • yellowcard Per Ciljan Skjelbred 69'
  • yellowcard Arne Maier 90'