Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 14, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
4 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
52.13%	24.4%	23.48%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41%

49.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39%

71.61%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45%

50.55%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 52.12%

Hertha Berlin 23.48%

Draw 24.4%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin

Mainz 05

71.8%

Draw

15.5%

Hertha Berlin

12.6%