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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
35.94%25.63%38.42%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42%48.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3%70.7%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.94%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 38.42%
    Draw 25.63%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.94%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.42%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Borussia M'bach

Mainz 05
36.1%
Draw
24.7%
Borussia Monchengladbach
39.2%
158