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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 35.94% | 25.63% | 38.42% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% | 48.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% | 70.7% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% | 26.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% | 61.3% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% | 24.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% | 59.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.42% |