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Mainz logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Coface Arena
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Mainz 05
3 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld

Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
FT
(aet)
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
48.57%25.14%26.28%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7%50.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76%72.24%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27%20.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65%53.34%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67%70.33%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 48.57%
    Arminia Bielefeld 26.28%
    Draw 25.13%
Mainz 05DrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz 05
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
Arminia Bielefeld
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')
rhs 2.0
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