Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
39.87%	25.9%	34.22%

Both teams to score 54.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50%

49.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02%

71.97%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.25%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09%

27.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47%

63.53%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 39.87%

Mainz 05 34.22%

Draw 25.9%

Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.22%