Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Koln logo

Mainz 05
1 - 1
FC Koln

Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
44.25%25.28%30.47%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.57%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13%21.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89%55.11%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42%29.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39%65.61%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 44.25%
    FC Koln 30.47%
    Draw 25.27%
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs FC Koln

Mainz 05
57.4%
Draw
39.3%
FC Koln
3.3%
61
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!