Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mainz 05 in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mainz 05.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	VfL Bochum
57.23%	22.62%	20.15%

Both teams to score 53.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81%

68.19%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21%

15.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07%

44.93%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17%

36.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38%

73.62%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 57.23%

VfL Bochum 20.16%

Draw 22.62%

Mainz 05	Draw	VfL Bochum
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05

81.1%

Draw

13.5%

VfL Bochum

5.4%