Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Lindstrom (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caricol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
51.69%	22.97%	25.33%

Both teams to score 58.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35%

41.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95%

64.05%

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8%

16.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.32%

45.68%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08%

65.92%

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 51.69%

Mainz 05 25.33%

Draw 22.97%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.69%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 6.43% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

70.7%

Draw

19.0%

Mainz 05

10.3%