Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz 05
We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Mainz 05
This clash is very difficult to call considering the similar level in quality that both sides have produced so far this season. However, based on recent form, as well as the struggles that Mainz have had on their travels compared to their home form, we are predicting a narrow home victory for Frankfurt in what is sure to be an intriguing encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 51.69% | 22.97% | 25.33% |
| Both teams to score 58.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
