VfL Bochum
3 - 1
Mainz 05

Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
34.09%	24.81%	41.11%

Both teams to score 58.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86%

45.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.51%

67.49%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06%

21.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77%

55.23%

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 34.09%

Mainz 05 41.11%

Draw 24.8%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.09%	1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8%	1-2 @ 8.81% 0-1 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.11%