Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 5
B. Leverkusen

Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
57.86%	20.06%	22.07%

Both teams to score 65.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.24%

52.76%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16%

10.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.08%

34.91%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01%

61.98%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 57.86%

Bayer Leverkusen 22.07%

Draw 20.06%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 6.99% 1-0 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 4.61% 4-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.14% 4-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.25% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 2.9% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Dortmund

71.1%

Draw

13.3%

Bayer Leverkusen

15.6%