Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.