Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
| 77.48% | 15.19% | 7.33% |
| Both teams to score 40.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% | 42.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% | 65.16% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.84% | 9.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.95% | 31.05% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.57% | 55.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.86% | 88.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
| 2-0 @ 14.5% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 6.82% 4-1 @ 4.08% 5-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.95% 6-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.46% | 1-1 @ 7.16% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.43% Total : 15.19% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 7.33% |