Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 32.5% | 23.14% | 44.36% |
| Both teams to score 63.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% | 37.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% | 23.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% | 56.88% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% | 17.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.02% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.04% Total : 44.36% |