Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
41.53%	24.48%	33.99%

Both teams to score 59.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33%

43.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94%

66.06%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05%

53.96%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.7%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 41.53%

Bologna 33.99%

Draw 24.48%

Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.99%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari

60.0%

Draw

14.9%

Bologna

25.1%