Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Inter Milan4 - 0Cagliari
We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Cagliari
Cagliari may have stiffened their resolve of late - conceding only twice in their last three outings - but are set to be picked apart by a superior attacking force when they visit San Siro. As Inter continue their defence of the championship in free-scoring style, it will be a matter of 'how many?' rather than 'if' for a dominant home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.54%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 3.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
| 86.54% | 9.48% | 3.98% |
| Both teams to score 40.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
