Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.