Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 21, 2021 at 5pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Napoli

Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
37.48%	25.58%	36.93%

Both teams to score 55.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.7%

48.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55%

70.45%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78%

25.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05%

59.95%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 37.48%

Napoli 36.93%

Draw 25.57%

Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.73% Total : 37.48%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.93%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan

52.2%

Draw

31.5%

Napoli

16.3%