Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roberto Gagliardini 36' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 44' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 58' goal
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 31'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 57'

Inter Milan vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2021 7.45pm
Venezia 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
Spezia 0 - 1 Bologna
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 82.57%
Draw 11.2%
Spezia 6.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.09%

Goals

Over 2.5 73.56%
Under 2.5 26.44%
Over 3.5 53.21%
Under 3.5 46.8%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 95.32%
Under 0.5 4.69%
Over 1.5 80.97%
Under 1.5 19.03%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 53.6%
Under 0.5 46.4%
Over 1.5 17.97%
Under 1.5 82.03%

Score analysis

Inter Milan 82.57%
Draw 11.2%
Spezia 6.23%
Inter Milan
3-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.19%
3-1 @ 7.99%
4-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 6.12%
5-0 @ 4.88%
5-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 82.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 3.01%
0-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.2%
Spezia
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.23%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Farias 12' goal
  • Riccardo Marchizza 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 39'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 18' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 52' goal
  • Antonio Conte 64' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 71' goal
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 41'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 42'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 90'+4'