Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
82.57% | 11.2% | 6.23% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.21% | 46.8% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.32% | 4.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.97% | 19.03% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.03% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
3-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 6.12% 5-0 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.07% 6-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.35% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.47% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.2% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |