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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
San Siro
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Spezia

Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia

There should be no expectations other than a comfortable home win at San Siro, due to the combination of Inter's fine form and Spezia's calamitous approach to defending. Even if Simone Inzaghi opts to rotate his resources, the quality at his disposal far outweighs his imperiled counterpart, whose reign as boss of the visitors could be coming to an end if their fortunes do not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
82.57%11.2%6.23%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.21%46.8%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.32%4.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.97%19.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97%82.03%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.57%
    Spezia 6.23%
    Draw 11.2%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
3-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.19%
3-1 @ 7.99%
4-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 6.12%
5-0 @ 4.88%
5-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 82.57%
1-1 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 3.01%
0-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.2%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.23%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
87.6%
Draw
7.6%
Spezia
4.8%
105
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Spezia
1-1
Inter Milan
Farias (12')
Marchizza (62'), Estevez (89')
Perisic (39')
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa32912113539-439
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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