Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 82.57% | 11.2% | 6.23% |
| Both teams to score 51.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.21% | 46.8% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.32% | 4.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.97% | 19.03% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% | 82.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 3-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 6.12% 5-0 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.07% 6-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.35% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.47% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.2% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.23% |