Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 57.79% | 23.76% | 18.45% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.44% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% | 48.98% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.26% | 42.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.93% | 79.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.78% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.45% |