Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.