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Chris Smalling
6'
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Matias Vina
54'
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Ibanez
56'
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Marash Kumbulla
65'
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Felix Afena-Gyan
70'
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Felix Afena-Gyan
90'+3'
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Emmanuel Gyasi
90'+2'
Roma vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result
Roma
71.82%
Draw
16.9%
Spezia
11.28%
Both Teams to Score:
51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5
62.37%
Under 2.5
37.63%
Over 3.5
40.13%
Under 3.5
59.87%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
90.79%
Under 0.5
9.21%
Over 1.5
68.82%
Under 1.5
31.18%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
56.52%
Under 0.5
43.48%
Over 1.5
20.31%
Under 1.5
79.69%
Score analysis
Roma
71.82%
Draw
16.9%
Spezia
11.28%
Roma
2-0
@
11.39%
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.4%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.14%
5-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 71.82%
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.4%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.14%
5-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 71.82%
Draw
1-1
@
7.96%
0-0 @ 4.01%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.9%
0-0 @ 4.01%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.9%
Spezia
0-1
@
3.34%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 11.28%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 11.28%
Head to Head
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
43'
-
Gianluca Mancini
51'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
73'
-
Gianluca Mancini
92'
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Pau Lopez
92'
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Lorenzo Pellegrini
111'
-
Andrey Galabinov
6'
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Kevin Agudelo
13'
-
Riccardo Saponara
15'
-
Ardian Ismajli
24'
-
Christian Dell'Orco
90'+1'
-
Daniele Verde
107'
-
Riccardo Saponara
119'