Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 0Spezia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gyasi (90+2')
We said: Roma 2-1 Spezia
While often caught short by clubs competing at the top of the standings, Roma are usually efficient against the league's minnows - particularly on home soil. The smart money is on Rome-born Verde to continue his scoring run against his childhood club, but Spezia cannot keep the back door shut for long enough to capitalise in Rome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Spezia |
| 71.82% | 16.9% | 11.28% |
| Both teams to score 51.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
