Conference League
Nov 25, 2021 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Carles Perez 15' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 33' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 46' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 75' goal
  • Rick Karsdorp 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+1' yellowcard

Roma vs Zorya Luhansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 4, 2021 8.00pm
Roma 2 - 2 Bodo/Glimt

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 4, 2021 5.45pm
Luhansk 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 11.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.67%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 64.91%
Draw 23.24%
Zorya Luhansk 11.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

34.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.74%
Under 2.5 61.26%
Over 3.5 18.81%
Under 3.5 81.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 81.39%
Under 0.5 18.61%
Over 1.5 50.1%
Under 1.5 49.9%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5 42.66%
Under 0.5 57.35%
Over 1.5 10.77%
Under 1.5 89.23%

Score analysis

Roma 64.9%
Draw 23.24%
Zorya Luhansk 11.85%
Roma
1-0 @ 17.94%
2-0 @ 15.08%
3-0 @ 8.46%
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 4.7%
4-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 64.9%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.67%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
Zorya Luhansk
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-2 @ 2.78%
0-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 11.85%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 7'
  • goal Chris Smalling 66'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 68'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 81'
  • yellowcard Rui Patricio 83'