Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Cittadella |
| 29.76% | 25.38% | 44.86% |
| Both teams to score 54.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% | 30.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% | 66.68% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 29.76%
Cittadella 44.86%
Draw 25.37%
| Cagliari | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.76% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.86% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Cittadella
Cagliari
82.0%Draw
13.1%Cittadella
4.9%61


