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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 15, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
3 - 1
Cittadella

Deiola (16'), Ceter (40'), Pereiro (64')
Oliva (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Donnarumma (85')
Danzi (26'), Frare (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cagliari and Cittadella, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawCittadella
29.76%25.38%44.86%
Both teams to score 54.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8%49.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74%71.26%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53%30.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32%66.68%
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82%55.18%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.76%
    Cittadella 44.86%
    Draw 25.37%
CagliariDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 7.93%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 44.86%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Cittadella

Cagliari
82.0%
Draw
13.1%
Cittadella
4.9%
61