Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 16, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Cagliari

Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cagliari
69.9%	17.73%	12.37%

Both teams to score 51.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37%

38.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07%

60.93%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07%

9.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.14%

32.86%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.69%

42.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.29%

78.7%

Score Analysis

Roma 69.89%

Cagliari 12.37%

Draw 17.73%

Roma	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 11.2% 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 4.98% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.71% Total : 69.89%	1-1 @ 8.35% 0-0 @ 4.2% 2-2 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.73%	0-1 @ 3.61% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.37%

How you voted: Roma vs Cagliari

Roma

83.3%

Draw

15.6%

Cagliari

1.0%