Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 34.39% | 24.85% | 40.76% |
| Both teams to score 57.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% | 45.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% | 67.63% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% | 25.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% | 60.43% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% | 22.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% | 55.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.76% |