Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Cagliari1 - 1Fiorentina
We said: Cagliari 1-3 Fiorentina
Despite Cagliari's recent upturn in form, their visitors should have too much quality to see them off in this one on Sunday, particularly if they can replicate the kind of attacking form displayed in their last two outings. A trip to a relegation-threatened opponent is the ideal opportunity to add more goals to their ever-increasing tally, and the likes of Vlahovic will be expected to get their name on the scoresheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 34.39% | 24.85% | 40.76% |
| Both teams to score 57.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
