Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.