Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.