Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 2
Liverpool

Tomori (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Salah (36'), Origi (55')

Reaction

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their first goal on December 7, 2021

Liverpool make English football history in AC Milan win

Liverpool become the first English team in history to win all six of their Champions League group games after beating AC Milan on Tuesday night at San Siro.

Dec 7, 22:04

Mohamed Salah equals Cristiano Ronaldo scoring feat in Champions League

Liverpool winger Mohamed Salah equals Cristiano Ronaldo's record of scoring in seven successive away Champions League games, netting his 20th of the season in the process.

Dec 7, 21:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Liverpool
23.03%	23.95%	53.02%

Both teams to score 52.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84%

48.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68%

70.32%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68%

35.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92%

72.08%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89%

18.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95%

49.05%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 23.03%

Liverpool 53.01%

Draw 23.94%

AC Milan	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 6.66% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.98% Total : 23.03%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 5.54% 0-3 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.01%