Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Crotone |
| 44.29% | 23.82% | 31.89% |
| Both teams to score 60.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% | 41.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% | 63.62% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% | 18.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% | 25.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 44.29%
Crotone 31.89%
Draw 23.82%
| Udinese | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-1 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.89% |
How you voted: Udinese vs Crotone
Udinese
87.7%Draw
9.6%Crotone
2.7%73


