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Atalanta logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Feb 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

The first of two encounters between these attack-minded teams in the next fortnight promises to provide some exciting football, even if both sides have been hit-and-miss of late. The hosts should win through to the semi-finals once again, as Fiorentina travel particularly badly and are still in the process of reconfiguration post-Vlahovic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
57.7%21.65%20.66%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.28%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05%13.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.58%41.42%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89%70.1%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.7%
    Fiorentina 20.66%
    Draw 21.64%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 6.51%
3-0 @ 5.95%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.26%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 57.7%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-1 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
41.3%
Draw
13.3%
Atalanta BC
45.3%
150
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
1-2
Atalanta
Chiesa (32')
Castrovilli (16'), Vlahovic (60')
Zapata (49'), Malinovskiy (72')
Zapata (27'), Gollini (33')
Jan 15, 2020 2pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-1
Atalanta
Cutrone (11'), Lirola (84')
Pezzella (45'), Henrique (81')
Pezzella (70')
Ilicic (67')
Caldara (34'), Djimsiti (50')
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