Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.13%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 78.13% | 14.36% | 7.51% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.13% | 7.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.12% | 27.88% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.23% | 85.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% 3-0 @ 11.13% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.68% 5-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.26% Total : 78.12% | 1-1 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 4.06% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.36% | 0-1 @ 2.69% 1-2 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 7.51% |