Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta

Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-2 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Roma vs. Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	37	19	63
6	Roma	38	15	63
7	Atalanta BC	37	18	59

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Next Game: Atalanta vs. Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Roma	38	15	63
7	Atalanta BC	37	18	59
8	Fiorentina	37	6	59

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.86%	23.71%	43.43%

Both teams to score 61.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65%

40.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27%

62.73%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.41%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63%

50.37%

Score Analysis

Roma 32.86%

Atalanta BC 43.43%

Draw 23.71%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.86%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.43%