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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta

Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Torino 0-2 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Roma vs. Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Atalanta BC

 Both sides' strengths and frailties are well known to each other, but Atalanta's attacking might has largely been replaced by a more disciplined defensive approach of late - particularly in high-profile clashes with Inter, Lazio and Juventus. Each of those games produced either goalless or low-scoring draws, and another could be in the offing against Roma this week, as their hosts are always vulnerable versus Calcio's top sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
32.86%23.71%43.43%
Both teams to score 61.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27%62.73%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.41%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63%50.37%
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.86%
    Atalanta BC 43.43%
    Draw 23.71%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.43%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
46.6%
Draw
28.8%
Atalanta BC
24.6%
118
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149
> Serie A Full Table


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