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Kevin Agudelo
30'
-
Kelvin Amian
39'
-
Kelvin Amian
45'
-
Jakub Kiwior
86'
-
Giulio Maggiore
90'+7'
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Gianluca Mancini
45'+3'
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Marash Kumbulla
64'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
90'+5'
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Tammy Abraham
90'+9'
Spezia vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Spezia
22.28%
Draw
21.97%
Roma
55.76%
Both Teams to Score:
58.59%
Goals
Over 2.5
59.75%
Under 2.5
40.25%
Over 3.5
37.38%
Under 3.5
62.63%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
68.39%
Under 0.5
31.61%
Over 1.5
31.99%
Under 1.5
68.02%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
85.66%
Under 0.5
14.34%
Over 1.5
57.81%
Under 1.5
42.2%
Score analysis
Spezia
22.28%
Draw
21.97%
Roma
55.76%
Spezia
2-1
@
5.84%
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.28%
1-0 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.28%
Draw
1-1
@
10.14%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.97%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.97%
Roma
1-2
@
9.85%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.37%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.69%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.76%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.37%
0-3 @ 5.53%
2-3 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.69%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.76%
Head to Head
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
43'
-
Gianluca Mancini
51'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
73'
-
Gianluca Mancini
92'
-
Pau Lopez
92'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
111'
-
Andrey Galabinov
6'
-
Kevin Agudelo
13'
-
Riccardo Saponara
15'
-
Ardian Ismajli
24'
-
Christian Dell'Orco
90'+1'
-
Daniele Verde
107'
-
Riccardo Saponara
119'