Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2022 at 5.05pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
0 - 1
Roma

Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Roma
22.28%	21.97%	55.76%

Both teams to score 58.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75%

40.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.38%

62.63%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.02%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66%

14.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81%

42.2%

Score Analysis

Spezia 22.28%

Roma 55.76%

Draw 21.97%

Spezia	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.22% 2-0 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.28%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 6.37% 0-3 @ 5.53% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.69% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.76%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia

18.3%

Draw

18.3%

Roma

63.4%