Serie A | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2022 at 5.05pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia0 - 1Roma
We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma
It will surely not be a straightforward process - as only Empoli have conceded more goals than Roma's 13 in Serie A during 2022 - but the visitors can return to the capital with all three points. Having lost consecutive games and starting without their first-choice striker, Spezia's downward trend will continue - with Juventus also on the horizon next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Roma |
| 22.28% | 21.97% | 55.76% |
| Both teams to score 58.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
