Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
| 35.53% | 26% | 38.47% |
| Both teams to score 54.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% | 62.65% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.47% |