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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Sampdoria logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria

 Giampaolo is likely to come in and bring some organisation to his Sampdoria side, so with this being his first match back in charge, and with it being away from home, he will be determined not to lose it and could set up to be defensively stubborn. As a result, and with these sides being evenly matched overall despite their differing form lately, we are predicting this to be a nervy affair that finishes in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
39.84%26.6%33.56%
Both teams to score 51.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97%53.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38%74.62%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9%26.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84%61.16%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18%29.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1%65.9%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 39.84%
    Sampdoria 33.56%
    Draw 26.6%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia
52.2%
Draw
30.4%
Sampdoria
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
> Preview
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
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17Udinese33416133150-1928
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20Salernitana3329222670-4415
> Serie A Full Table


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