Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
39.84%	26.6%	33.56%

Both teams to score 51.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.97%

53.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38%

74.62%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9%

26.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84%

61.16%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18%

29.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1%

65.9%

Score Analysis

Spezia 39.84%

Sampdoria 33.56%

Draw 26.6%

Spezia	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.84%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia

52.2%

Draw

30.4%

Sampdoria

17.4%