Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
| 79.89% | 12.88% | 7.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.24% | 52.76% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.91% | 6.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.87% | 23.13% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% | 47.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.12% | 82.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 11.33% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.43% 1-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 5.51% 5-0 @ 4.15% 5-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.94% 6-1 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.88% | 1-1 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 3.14% 0-0 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.83% Total : 12.88% | 1-2 @ 2.24% 0-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.23% |