Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Eljif Elmas 5'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 33'
  • yellowcard Kevin Malcuit 67'

AC Milan vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2021 5.00pm
Napoli 0 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 33.74%
Draw 24.87%
Napoli 41.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.69%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.47%
Under 2.5 45.53%
Over 3.5 32.14%
Under 3.5 67.86%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.94%
Under 0.5 26.06%
Over 1.5 38.9%
Under 1.5 61.1%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 78.02%
Under 0.5 21.98%
Over 1.5 44.72%
Under 1.5 55.28%

Score analysis

AC Milan 33.74%
Draw 24.87%
Napoli 41.38%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 33.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
Napoli
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.38%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theo Hernandez 86' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Maksimovic 26'
  • goal Matteo Politano 49'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 70'
  • yellowcard Ivan Gennaro Gattuso 89'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 16' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 63' goal
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 65' redcard
  • Mario Rui 81' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 20'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 47'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 54'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 59'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 76'
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 85'
  • goal Jens Petter Hauge 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio San Paolo
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 30' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 34' goal
  • Dries Mertens 60' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 20'
  • goal Franck Kessie 73'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 75'
  • yellowcard Andrea Conti 77'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 85'
  • redcard Alexis Saelemaekers 88'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2019 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Lucas Paqueta 26' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 29' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 73' yellowcard
  • Andrea Conti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Hirving Lozano 24'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 69'
  • yellowcard Amin Younes 77'
Coppa Italia
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Krzysztof Piatek 11' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 27' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Malcuit 29'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Milik 35'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 40'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2019 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Patrick Cutrone 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian 18'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 86'
  • redcard Fabian 90'