Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Luzhniki Stadium

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Napoli

Sobolev (3' pen., 28')
Litvinov (14'), Sobolev (88'), Promes (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elmas (64')
Koulibaly (78'), Spalletti (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Spartak Moscow and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Napoli
22.09%	24.2%	53.71%

Both teams to score 50.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81%

50.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85%

72.15%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66%

37.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87%

74.13%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09%

49.91%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 22.09%

Napoli 53.7%

Draw 24.2%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.09%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 11.68% 0-2 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.7%

How you voted: Spartak Moscow vs Napoli

Spartak Moscow

17.0%

Draw

11.3%

Napoli

71.6%