Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
| 33.92% | 25.28% | 40.81% |
| Both teams to score 56.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% | 69.53% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% | 62.09% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% | 23.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% | 56.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.81% |