After a blistering start to the campaign, Napoli have tailed off in trademark fashion, with a title challenge slipping out of their grasp.
If they wish to lift the Scudetto come the end of the season, it is victories against mid-table outfits like Sampdoria that they need to win, with Napoli likely to get the job done on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
