Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
68.18% | 18.28% | 13.53% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.68% | 38.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% | 60.6% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% | 10.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.36% | 33.64% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.68% | 40.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.06% | 76.94% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.63% 4-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.36% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 4.63% Total : 68.17% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-1 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |