Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
| 43.58% | 26.47% | 29.95% |
| Both teams to score 50.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% | 58.84% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% | 32.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.95% |