Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 2
Spezia

Leao (45+1')
Kalulu (22'), Gabbia (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Agudelo (64'), Gyasi (90+6')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (32'), Provedel (44'), Maggiore (65'), Bastoni (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 76.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
76.88%	14.78%	8.33%

Both teams to score 47.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.14%

36.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.96%

59.04%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.1%

7.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.06%

27.94%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.12%

48.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.14%

83.86%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 76.86%

Spezia 8.33%

Draw 14.78%

AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.43% 3-0 @ 10.52% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.86%	1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.86% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.78%	0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.51% 0-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.33%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Spezia

AC Milan

89.0%

Draw

6.5%

Spezia

4.5%