Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.