Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
29.91% | 24.89% | 45.2% |
Both teams to score 55.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% | 47.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% | 69.27% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.74% | 29.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.78% | 65.22% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% | 20.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |