Serie A Gameweek 26
Bologna
Feb 21, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Spezia
  • Luis Binks 19' yellowcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 40' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 84' goal
  • goal Rey Manaj 11'
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 22'

Bologna vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2022 2.00pm
Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Marko Arnautovic

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Daniele Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result

Bologna 54.21%
Draw 23.4%
Spezia 22.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.91%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.49%
Under 2.5 46.51%
Over 3.5 31.21%
Under 3.5 68.79%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 82.94%
Under 0.5 17.06%
Over 1.5 52.77%
Under 1.5 47.23%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 65%
Under 0.5 35%
Over 1.5 28.26%
Under 1.5 71.74%

Score analysis

Bologna 54.2%
Draw 23.39%
Spezia 22.39%
Bologna
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 54.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.39%
Spezia
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.39%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Spezia
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
  • Arkadiusz Reca 38' yellowcard
  • Eddie Salcedo 71' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 82' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 83'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Bologna
Apr 18, 2021 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Spezia
  • Riccardo Orsolini 12' goal
  • Musa Barrow 18' goal
  • Adama Soumaoro 39' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 54' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 60' goal
  • goal Ardian Ismajli 34'
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 36'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Spezia
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Bologna
  • Riccardo Marchizza 16' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 19' goal
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 37' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 49' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 63' goal
  • Julian Chabot 85' yellowcard
  • Ivan Provedel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Martin Erlic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 25'
  • goal Nicolas Dominguez 72'
  • goal Musa Barrow 90'+2'
Coppa Italia
Bologna
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
ET Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Spezia
  • Musa Barrow 13' goal
  • Nicolas Dominguez 44' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 45'+1' goal
  • Gary Medel 50' yellowcard
  • Roberto Soriano 104' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 116' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 5'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Marchizza 27'
  • yellowcard Kevin Agudelo 58'
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 62'
  • goal Diego Farias 64'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 78'
  • yellowcard Titas Krapikas 89'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 100'
  • yellowcard Federico Mattiello 114'
  • yellowcard Giulio Maggiore 114'
  • goal Giulio Maggiore 119'

Form Data

Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna
Bologna 0 - 0 Empoli
Hellas Verona 2 - 1 Bologna
Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli
Cagliari 2 - 1 Bologna
Sassuolo 0 - 3 Bologna
Spezia 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Salernitana 2 - 2 Spezia
Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria
AC Milan 1 - 2 Spezia
Genoa 0 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 1 - 2 Hellas Verona